Latest outlookCutoff Low Season! And, a Remarkably Wet Looking Winter Signal?

Rock Creek Weather

Updated Oct 16, 4:34 PM PDT

63°

Clear · H 63° L 36°

10-day precip
0.49″
0.28–0.65″ likely

❄ Snowfall · expected, in

Next 1–5 days

0.3″

Next 6–10 days

0.7″
  1. 0
    Tdy☀️63°36°
  2. 0
    Sat☀️65°37°
  3. 0
    Sun☀️65°33°
  4. 0
    Mon🌤62°32°
  5. 0.3
    0.10rainTue🌨52°31°
  6. 0.3
    0.23rainWed🌨46°30°
  7. 0
    0.03rainThu🌨47°29°
  8. 0
    Fri🌦50°31°
  9. 0
    Sat🌨53°34°
  10. 0.3
    0.01rainSun🌨54°34°
✓ Models agreeSnow at 7,090 ft, 10 days: 1.0″ (0–1.4″ likely)
ECMWF 1.7″ · AIFS 1.5″ · GFS 0.7″ · Canadian 0.3″
Compare every model for this spot →

Rain and snow in Tom's Place over the next 10 days: about 1.0″ of snow (0–1.4″ likely) and 0.39″ of rain, mostly Tue–Sun. Snow level down to 7,700 ft Tue; much colder by Wed, highs near 46°.

  • Sunrise 7:04 AM
  • Sunset 6:15 PM
  • Air Quality 44 · good

Snowpack at Rock Creek (9,600 ft): 1.24″ of water.

How this is made: the National Weather Service for days 1–7 (rescaled to this elevation), blended with the ECMWF, AIFS, GFS and Canadian ensembles for the ranges and days 8–10. See the raw models

Next 10 days · tom's place

Precipitation

Total (days 1–5): ~0.13″ (0–0.17″ possible)25–75%10–90%NWS

Snowfall

25–75%10–90%NWS

Temp Trend

Precip Chance

Wind (6-hr)

Cloud Cover

Full 10-day forecast
  • Tom's Place (7,090 ft): Fri 63°/36° and clear, Sat 65°/37° and clear, Sun 65°/33° and clear. Snow over the next 10 days: about 1.0″ (0–1.4″ likely), plus about 0.39″ of rain. The weather models agree.
  • Mosquito Flat (10,250 ft): Fri 56°/29° and clear, Sat 58°/34° and clear, Sun 59°/31° and clear. Snow over the next 10 days: about 7.0″ (3.8–9.4″ likely), from about 0.71″ of liquid precipitation. The weather models agree.

  1. Fri 10/16

    Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo63° / 36°56° / 29°Snow——Precip——

    Snow level 9,500 ft · Wind ESE 30 mph

  2. Sat 10/17

    Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo65° / 37°58° / 34°Snow——Precip——

    Snow level 9,500 ft · Wind SSE 11 mph

  3. Sun 10/18

    Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo65° / 33°59° / 31°Snow——Precip——

    Snow level 9,500 ft · Wind S 13 mph

  4. Mon 10/19

    Mostly Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo62° / 32°54° / 28°Snow——Precip——

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind SW 26 mph

  5. Tue 10/20

    Partly Cloudy

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo52° / 31°47° / 25°Snow0.3″0–1.0″1.7″0–2.0″Precip0.13″0–0.16″0.17″0–0.20″

    Snow level 7,500 ft · Wind S 22 mph

  6. Wed 10/21

    Mostly Cloudy

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo46° / 30°38° / 25°Snow0.3″0–0.8″4.4″0.6–6.1″Precip0.26″0.04–0.35″0.45″0.07–0.61″

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind SSE 15 mph

  7. Thu 10/22

    Mostly Cloudy

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo47° / 29°40° / 23°Snow—0.3″0–0.7″Precip0.03″0–0.08″0.03″0–0.08″

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind W 13 mph

  8. Fri 10/23

    Mostly Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo50° / 31°42° / 22°Snow—Traceup to 0.1″PrecipTraceup to 0.01″Traceup to 0.01″

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind WSW 12 mph

  9. Sat 10/24

    Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo53° / 34°45° / 26°Snow—0.2″0–0.2″Precip0.02″0–0.02″0.02″0–0.02″

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind —

  10. Sun 10/25

    Clear

    Tom's PlaceMosquito FlatHi / lo54° / 34°44° / 27°Snow0.3″0–0.3″0.4″0–1.0″Precip0.04″0–0.10″0.04″0–0.10″

    Snow level 8,000 ft · Wind —

Snow and precipitation (liquid: rain plus melted snow) are the expected amounts (the average across the models' members), with the likely range beneath; blue and green mark measurable snow and precipitation, amber wind of 25 mph or more. Forecasts combine the National Weather Service with the ECMWF, AIFS, GFS and Canadian ensembles.

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